Data story · NBA Playoffs

The NBA Finals since 2011, in five strips.

Across the 91 NBA Finals games from 2011 to 2026, the team ahead at halftime went on to win 61 of the 85 that were not tied at the break. Sixteen Finals, three eras, and five strips that show how each one felt.

Every strip on this page is a real NBA Playoffs strip from the Huezle app, drawn by the app’s own code. More about NBA Playoffs.

How to read the strips

Each strip is one game, tip-off on the left and the final buzzer on the right, one band per minute. A band is purple when the away team led at the end of that minute, gold when the home team led, and pale when it was close or tied. The deeper the colour, the bigger the lead, up to full colour at 18 points; an overtime adds five bands.

A halftime lead usually holds

Finals games are less random than they feel. The team ahead after three quarters won 70 of the 88 games that were not level at that point. Home court helps less than people expect: the home team won 51 of the 91, a little over half. And nine winners led at every single minute mark, start to finish.

So the strips worth remembering are the ones that break the pattern. Here are five, one or two from each era.

2011–2014: the Heat years

Miami reached four straight Finals. The third, against San Antonio in 2013, was the closest of them: the Spurs outscored the Heat over the seven games, 684 to 679, and still lost. Game 6 is why. San Antonio led by 10 after three quarters and was still ahead in the final minute of regulation.

2013 Game 6: Miami wins 103–100 in overtimePurple through the third quarter, a pale climb back, level at the end of regulation, then five overtime bands.
Tip-offFinal Buzzer
  • Away Leading
  • Tied
  • Home Leading

2015–2019: Warriors and Cavaliers

Golden State and Cleveland met four years running. The second meeting produced the most back-and-forth strip in the data, and the third and fourth were mostly Golden State. The 2016 Game 7 had at least 12 lead changes at minute marks, more than any other Finals game since 2011, and the score was within 3 points at 38 of its 48 minute marks.

  • 2016 G7 · CLE 93–89
  • 2018 G4 · GSW 108–85
Tip-offFinal Buzzer
  • Away Leading
  • Tied
  • Home Leading
A Game 7 that never settled, and the clincher of the only Finals sweep in the data.

The run ended with Toronto, which won its first title in 2019 by taking Game 6 in Oakland. The game-by-game story of the most famous of these series is in the 2016 Finals game by game.

2020–2026: a new champion every year

Seven Finals, seven different champions. The strips of this era hold the extremes. In Game 4 of 2024, Dallas led Boston by 45 at one minute mark and won by 38, the biggest final margin of any Finals game since 2011; Boston still won the series 4–1. Two years later the Knicks came back from 29 down in Game 4, the largest deficit any Finals winner overcame in this data, 13 points more than the next.

  • 2024 G4 · DAL 122–84
  • 2026 G4 · NYK 107–106
Tip-offFinal Buzzer
  • Away Leading
  • Tied
  • Home Leading
Two Game 4s: one solid block of gold, one almost all purple that flips in its last two bands.

Between them sits the 2025 Finals, which went to seven; every Finals Game 7 puts it beside 2013 and 2016, and LeBron James in the Finals follows the player who appears in nine of these sixteen.

Minute marks, not every possession. Each band is the score at the end of a minute, so a lead that peaked between two minute marks is drawn a little smaller. Final scores and winners are exact.

Huezle shows you one playoff strip at a time and asks which game it was. Start with a Finals.

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Questions

Who has won the most NBA Finals since 2011?

The Golden State Warriors, with four: 2015, 2017, 2018 and 2022. Miami won two, in 2012 and 2013.

How many NBA Finals since 2011 went to seven games?

Three: 2013 (Heat over Spurs), 2016 (Cavaliers over Warriors) and 2025 (Thunder over Pacers).

What was the most lopsided NBA Finals game since 2011?

Game 4 of the 2024 Finals, which Dallas won 122–84 against Boston, a 38-point margin. Boston still won that series 4–1.

Does the halftime leader usually win an NBA Finals game?

Usually. From 2011 to 2026 the team ahead at halftime won 61 of the 85 Finals games that were not tied at the break.

Now try naming one yourself.

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